01
Define the decision.
I start with the decision, its time horizon, and the evidence that matters. I separate what we know from what we assume and what still needs to be investigated.
05 / Approach
How I evaluate evidence, test assumptions, and learn from the results.

01
I start with the decision, its time horizon, and the evidence that matters. I separate what we know from what we assume and what still needs to be investigated.
02
I compare financial data with operating details and insights from people close to the work. I look for alternative explanations and test the assumptions that matter most.
03
I write down the evidence, risks, and trade-offs before the outcome is known, including what would change my conclusion.
04
I compare the outcome with the original expectations to understand what held up, what failed, and what the team should do differently next time.
Within my independent team, AI and data specialists develop tools to organize research material, compare scenarios, and flag gaps or conflicting information.
Researchers check the output against its sources and the relevant industry context. AI helps inform decisions; the people making them remain accountable.